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A stagnant weather pattern establishes; Daily chance for rain

May 12, 2021 5:39 pm

We’re about to move in to a very stagnant weather pattern that will bring clouds and daily chances for rain through at least the next 10 days, according to long range computer models.

Latest Ecmwf 500mb And Precip Type

An area of low pressure will develop over the northwest coast of the country, becoming cut-off from the jet stream.  This will allow the low to slowly meander through the southwestern U.S., sending moisture up out of the Gulf through the Plains and in to the Midwest.

10day Qpf Gfs Vs Euro

Long range computer models suggest southeast Nebraska could end up with anywhere from 2.5″ to 3″ of rain over the next 10 days. That is roughly 215% the normal rainfall for the time period. This will also keep temperatures moderated with highs climbing to the low 70°s for the rest of this week and the beginning of next week.

Rain will be possible in southeast Nebraska starting Thursday morning with a few light showers possible towards Grand Island. This will translate in to a chance for scattered showers Thursday afternoon for areas like Lincoln.

Rpm 18z Dma 72hr 4km 12km

A line of showers, with a few embedded thunderstorms, will be possible by early Thursday evening. These are expected to move southeast Thursday night in to early Friday morning. A few of the storms near Kearney could be strong, with damaging wind possible.

Skies will become mostly clear overnight and temperatures will begin to drop. However, they should not go as low as they did Wednesday morning, in to the 30°s, thanks to a light southeast wind. Lows will drop to the lower 40°s.

As clouds increase Thursday before rain arrives, temperatures should be able to get back to around 70°.

– Chief Meteorologist John Dissauer

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Filed Under: NEBRASKA Tagged With: Channel 8 Eyewitness News Weather, Forecast

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